Question

Will the identity of the anonymous administration figure who authored the NYT editorial be discovered by Nov 6 2018?

Resolved:No

1 comment1

Total Forecasters75

Community Prediction

25%

(11% - 34%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 25%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

54.0

Community Peer Score

22.0

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Sep 7, 2018

Closes:

Oct 6, 2018

Resolves:

Nov 6, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 7, 2018

Politics

2018 Leaderboard

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Banksy's identity be revealed to the public before 2031?

20%

[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?

70%

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Sep 7, 2018

Closes:

Oct 6, 2018

Resolves:

Nov 6, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Sep 7, 2018

Politics

2018 Leaderboard

Will the Department of Justice file an indictment against either of the former Trump administration officials, Christopher Krebs or Miles Taylor, before January 1, 2026?

20%

Will Banksy's identity be revealed to the public before 2031?

20%

[Short fuse] Will an image of Donald Trump appear on the front page of the New York Times on July 4, 2025?

70%