100 forecasters

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Gavin Newsom is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?

0.1%chance

0.1%chance

ResolvedNo

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 0% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023

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Gavin Newsom Now 'Looking at' 2028 Presidential Run

Red State•Oct 26, 2025

California Gov. Gavin Newsom says he'd be 'lying' if he denied plans to consider a presidential run

NBC•Oct 26, 2025

Gavin Newsom won’t rule out running for president in 2028, says he’s focused on midterms first

Independent•Oct 26, 2025

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