Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

147 forecasters

6

147 forecasters

ACX 2023 Prediction Contest

On January 1, 2024, will prediction markets say Joe Biden is the most likely Democratic nominee for President in 2024?

ResolvedYes

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

2 comments93 forecasters

Markets give >20% to a twice-elected president's renomination in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

11 comments240 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Democratic nominee for President of the United States?

Gavin Newsom26.1%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10.4%

Pete Buttigieg7.4%

16 comments161 forecasters

Democrat Wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

5 comments50 forecasters

Which party will win the 2028 US presidential election?

Democratic Party59.9%

Republican Party40%

14 comments247 forecasters

Who will be the 2028 Republican nominee for President of the United States?

Ron DeSantis4.7%

Marco Rubio17.7%

7 comments24 forecasters

Will the next U.S. President have a beard or mustache?

0 comments6 forecasters

What will be the Dem Electoral College margin in 2028?

Current estimate

207 comments818 forecasters

Donald Trump Incarceration by 2030?