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12
126
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15
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126 forecasters
ACX 2023 Prediction Contest
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In 2023 will OpenAI release GPT-4?
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Yes
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0 comments
25 forecasters
Dates Large AI Models Released
8
Dec 2034
6
Sep 2034
4
07 Oct 2029
2
07 Sep 2026
1 comment
43 forecasters
GPT-6 release date?
Current estimate
14 Nov 2026
0 comments
13 forecasters
Dates Publicly Downloadable Large AI Models
4
Mar 2033
6
Dec 2032
2
09 Oct 2030
6 comments
60 forecasters
When will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be publicly available?
Current estimate
26 Dec 2027
6 comments
784 forecasters
Will OpenAI file for an IPO in 2026?
80%
chance
13 comments
26 forecasters
Most Expensive AI Training Run by Year
42 comments
218 forecasters
OpenAI solves alignment before June 30 2027?
1%
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6 comments
53 forecasters
Will Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026?
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