85 forecasters

In 2023, will an image model win Scott Alexander’s bet on compositionality, to Edwin Chen’s satisfaction?

90%chance

ResolvedNo

The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved No.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Dec 22, 2022

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 14, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 12, 2023