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11
186
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15
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186 forecasters
AI Demonstrations
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In 2023 will AI win a programming competition?
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No
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Current estimate
27 Oct 2027
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IMO AI Prize
2026
78%
2027
17%
2028 or later
3%
2024 or before
result:
No
2025
result:
No
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98%
chance
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Current estimate
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14 comments
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AI resolving questions on Metaculus
2025
result:
No
2030
70%
2035
91%
2040
90%
2050
96%
12 comments
40 forecasters
Anthropomorphic robots in football?
62%
chance