Question

Will the WHO classify aging as a disease by 2018?

Resolved:No

8 comments8

Total Forecasters215

Community Prediction

17%

(10% - 29%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 17%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

16.8

Community Baseline Score

77.3

Authors:

Anthony

Opened:

Feb 15, 2016

Closes:

Feb 15, 2017

Resolves:

Dec 20, 2018

Spot Scoring Time:

Feb 16, 2016

Social Sciences

Health & Pandemics

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will there be a culturally significant development in aging research by 2030?

57%

Before January 1, 2032, will an FDA-approved therapeutic intervention demonstrate a statistically significant reversal of at least 10 years in biological age in humans?

20%

Will a partial reprogramming-based therapy receive regulatory approval for treating Alzheimer’s disease before January 1, 2035?

48%