Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

107 forecasters

11

107 forecasters

Will Google or DeepMind release a public interface for a Large Language Model before April 1, 2023?

ResolvedYes

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

1 comment43 forecasters

GPT-6 release date?

Current estimate

13 comments13 forecasters

5 million token context AI

Current estimate

6 comments60 forecasters

When will an AI model using neuralese recurrence be publicly available?

Current estimate

22 comments30 forecasters

General AI solves International Math Olympiad

Current estimate

6 comments55 forecasters

Will Atlas browser be released for Windows before September 1, 2026?

Current estimate

27 comments119 forecasters

Will Claude Mythos be released before Sep 2026?

0 comments13 forecasters

Dates Publicly Downloadable Large AI Models

0 comments25 forecasters

Dates Large AI Models Released