62 forecasters

Will the UK Labour Party have a polling lead of at least 10% on 1 January 2024?

98%chance

98%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 98% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Jan 10, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 11, 2023

2023 Leaderboard

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