Question

Will the UK Labour Party have a polling lead of at least 10% on 1 January 2024?

Resolved:Yes
3
5
Total Forecasters62
Community Prediction
98%
(94% - 99%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 98%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Peer Score
11.0
Community Baseline Score
59.6
Authors:
biloliiaa
Opened:Jan 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Jan 1, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 11, 2023
Politics
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