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62 forecasters

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62 forecasters

Will the UK Labour Party have a polling lead of at least 10% on 1 January 2024?

ResolvedYes

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

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11 comments111 forecasters

Labour UK PM on January 1, 2030

23 comments96 forecasters

Conservative UK PM on Jan 1, 2030

15 comments74 forecasters

UK Labour to have female leader before 2030?

5 comments30 forecasters

Will there be a Labour Party leadership election before 2027?

10 comments19 forecasters

UK GDP average growth of 2.5% next few years?

28 comments823 forecasters

Will Starmer leave office in 2026?

4 comments6 forecasters

Seats won per party in next UK general election 2029

Labour Party100

Conservative Party74.1

Liberal Democrats66.7

3 comments19 forecasters

England prison population rate be 5 years later after Labour win?

Current estimate