25 comments
83 forecasters
Democracy in Crisis: How many free countries in 2028?
Latest estimate
86.2
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Sep 19, 2018
Closed:Jun 1, 2020
Scheduled resolution:Jan 29, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Sep 19, 2018
What will be the Democracy Index of the United States in 2040?
7.08
(6.26 - 7.69)
7.08
(6.26 - 7.69)
55 forecasters
What fraction of the world's population will live in a democracy in 2040?
52.5%
(42.4 - 62.2)
52.5%
(42.4 - 62.2)
29 forecasters
What will be the US' score in the Freedom in the World Report for 2050?
78.2 points
(69.5 - 85.5)
78.2 points
(69.5 - 85.5)
20 forecasters