Question

Will high-impact research on reducing the sample complexity of Large Language Model pretraining be forthcoming before 2026?

Total Forecasters32
Community Prediction
60%
(50% - 67%)

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50%
community: 60%
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Opened:Jan 7, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2025
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2027
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 9, 2023