Question
When will most Americans personally know someone who has dated an AI?
Total Forecasters89
Community Prediction
Sep 2032
(27 Dec 2028 - Jul 2039)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 27 Dec 2028 | — |
| median | Sep 2032 | — |
| upper 75% | Jul 2039 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 23.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Authors:
Opened:Jan 10, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2039
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2039
Spot Scoring Time:Jan 12, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch