Question

Will there be a US government shutdown before January 1, 2024?

Resolved:No

64 comments64

Total Forecasters265

Community Prediction

0.1%

(0.1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 0.1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score

34.4

Community Peer Score

8.3

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2023

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

50%

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

75%

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolves:

Jan 1, 2024

Spot Scoring Time:

Jan 23, 2023

Politics

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

50%

Will the US government order the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) or NASDAQ to be closed before January 20, 2029?

10%

Will a federal court rule that the Trump administration violated the Impoundment Control Act in attempting to permanently withhold or cancel congressionally allocated funds by September 27, 2025?

75%