Question

How many birds will be affected by avian influenza in Virginia in 2023?

Resolved:37.45k
Total Forecasters43
Community Prediction
146k
(75.7k - 296k)

Make a Prediction

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CDF

QuartilescommunityMy Prediction
lower 25%75.74k
median146k
upper 75%296.5k
Upper bound
>15M0.4%

What was the final result?37.45k

Community Baseline Score
174.6
Community Peer Score
79.1
Authors:
Opened:Jan 30, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2024
Resolves:Jan 2, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 7, 2023