🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Group

Which of the listed LLMs will integrate a version of output watermarking before January 1, 2025?

6
2
31 forecasters

Forecast Timeline

Make a Prediction

LLM system / watermarking optionalityMe
OpenAI GPT-4, not optional
no
Anthropic AI Claude, not optional
no
OpenAI GPT-4, optional
no
Anthropic AI Claude, optional
no
GitHub Copilot, optional
no
GitHub Copilot, not optional
no
Resolved Dec 31, 2024
Community Baseline Score
37.4
Community Peer Score
12.8
Authors:
KirillYakunin
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Business of AI
Computing and Math
Artificial Intelligence
2021-2025 Leaderboard
Cyber-security regulation
Information theory
OpenAI
Chatbot

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