Question
By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
Total Forecasters398
Community Prediction
35%
(10% - 60%)
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 12, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
22%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
23.9%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 11, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 12, 2018
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global climate disaster occurs by 2100, will the Earth's human population decline by 95% or more?
1%
Ragnarök Question Series: if an artificial intelligence catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
22%
Ragnarök Question Series: if a global catastrophe caused by some "other risk" occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
23.9%