15 comments
281 forecasters
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
29.2%chance
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Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2018
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
5% chance
195
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
27.2% chance
499
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10% chance
279