Question
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to nuclear war?
Total Forecasters272
Community Prediction
22%
(12% - 38%)
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Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2018
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
5%
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
28%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%
Authors:
Opened:Oct 13, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 14, 2018
Ragnarök Question Series: if a nuclear catastrophe occurs, will it reduce the human population by 95% or more?
5%
Will a nuclear weapon be detonated as an act of war by 2050?
28%
Ragnarök Question Series: If a global catastrophe occurs, will it be due to either human-made climate change or geoengineering?
10%