Questions
Tournaments
Services
News

Questions
Tournaments

Questions

Questions

48 forecasters

15

48 forecasters

Will Apple help the FBI access the 'San Bernardino iPhone'?

ResolvedNo

No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.

Public Benefit Corporation

Metaculus is an online forecasting platform focusing on topics of global importance.

ExploreQuestions Tournaments Tournaments for AI bots FutureEval

ServicesLaunch a Tournament Private Instances Pro Forecasters

CompanyAboutCareers FAQ

ResourcesForecasting Resources For Journalists API

Guidelines Privacy Policy Terms of Use

3 comments23 forecasters

iPhone without Google Search

Current estimate

1 comment3 forecasters

$4000 iPhone when?

Current estimate

1 comment32 forecasters

WhatsApp E2E encryption proven false before 2027?

8 comments42 forecasters

Apple Purchases Peloton by 2050

4 comments106 forecasters

Will the US executive order non-enforcement of court orders in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No

7 comments113 forecasters

Will the US government mandate security clearance from the employees that lead the research and development of the top models at OpenAI, Deepmind, or Anthropic before 2028?

1 comment25 forecasters

Alcatraz house inmates before 2028?

2 comments110 forecasters

DOJ files charges against journalist under Espionage Act in these years?

2021-2022result: No

2023-2024result: No