M

Question

Will there be any reported human-to-human transmission of H5N1 before 2024?

Resolved :No0.5%
Total Forecasters113
Community Prediction0.5% (0.1% - 1%)

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50%
community: 0.5%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
74.9
Community Peer Score
20.2
median 0.5%mean 3.3%
0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%
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