Question

Will a military conflict between Egypt and Israel cause 1,000 or more deaths before 2030?

10
16
Total Forecasters139
Community Prediction
1.5%
(1% - 5%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1.5%
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
ForkLeaf
Opened:Apr 25, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2029
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2030
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 27, 2023
Israel-Gaza Conflict
Geopolitics