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Will the EU Parliament election 2019 be free from any unlawful and significant election manipulation attempt?

In May 2019, the EU will hold the election for 705 seats in the European Parliament by universal adult suffrage, with about 400 million eligible voters selected from an EU population of 512 million people.

Out of the seven institutions of the EU, the parliament is one of the three legislative bodies, among the European Commission and the Council of the European Union. It is the only directly elected body, as most of the EU is much more strongly oriented towards its federal roots. Since the Lisbon Treaty went into force in 2009, the weight shifted in favor of the European Parliament, but just like in other democratic entities, the media remains strongly dominated by the Executive, the Commission.

The increasing importance of the parliament, the spread and success of EU skeptic parties, and of course Brexit, could make this election slightly more interesting than past ones. Or not. And the changes in the national and regional parliaments are likely to be reflected in the EU -- but how much?


EU Parliament Election 2019 mini-series:

All questions will close one day before the election. Should no elections be held in 2019, all resolve ambiguous.

In case of regional issues, the result that is accepted by the EU counts, even if those results are interim and will receive minor corrections potentially after the Parliament voted on the President of the EU Commission.

All will be resolved by reference to the official results, which will likely be made available somewhere at https://data.europa.eu/.


Will the EU Parliament election 2019 be free from any unlawful and significant election manipulation attempt?

The question will resolve once the executive government is active. "Significant" means that in case of success it would have moved at least one seat in the parliament. To resolve negative any single attempt needs to be both unlawful and significant. If no such attempt has been found until the resolution time, this question resolved positive. If the attempt is only recognized after the new coalition has taken up operations, it resolves positive. If the attempt would not have moved a seat, it resolves positive. The direction of the attempt is irrelevant. Any unquantifiable attempts would resolve positive, as would any proper marketing operations, as would if all of "the Russians" and "China" together with "North Korean Elite Hackers" proclaim successful operations without any other outside confirmation.

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