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40
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178
forecasters
When will the 1,000th person reach space?
Current estimate
Dec 2033
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Authors:
Pshyeah
Opened:
Oct 23, 2018
Closes:
Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:
Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:
Oct 23, 2018
Economy & Business
Technology
Space
News Match
Blue Origin’s New Glenn rocket landed its booster on a barge at sea – an achievement that will broaden the commercial spaceflight market
The Conversation
•
Nov 15, 2025
Jeff Bezos’ Blue Origin launches New Glenn rocket destined for Mars
Independent
•
Nov 14, 2025
Blue Origin launches a NASA spacecraft to Mars - heating up the space race with Elon Musk's SpaceX
Daily Mail
•
Nov 14, 2025
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about Metaculus NewsMatch
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