Question
When will the 1,000th person reach space?
Total Forecasters176
Community Prediction
Mar 2034
(21 Aug 2029 - Apr 2041)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 21 Aug 2029 | — |
| median | Mar 2034 | — |
| upper 75% | Apr 2041 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2100 | 2.1% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Oct 23, 2018
Closes:Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Oct 23, 2018
Closes:Jan 2, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 2, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Oct 23, 2018