Question
When will the 10,000th human reach space?
Total Forecasters123
Community Prediction
Sep 2050
(May 2041 - Mar 2067)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | May 2041 | — |
| median | Sep 2050 | — |
| upper 75% | Mar 2067 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >2075 | 19.0% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Dec 21, 2018
Closes:Dec 17, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Dec 18, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Dec 21, 2018
Closes:Dec 17, 2075
Scheduled resolution:Dec 18, 2075
Spot Scoring Time:Dec 22, 2018
