Question

Before 2100, will there be a 5-year period with an average global temperature >3.6˚C warmer than the 1861-1880 baseline?

Total Forecasters139
Community Prediction
20%
(12% - 40%)

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50%
community: 20%
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Opened:Nov 5, 2018
Closes:Jan 1, 2100
Scheduled resolution:Jan 16, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 6, 2018