Question

When will OpenAI announce GPT-5?

99 comments99

Total Forecasters742

Community Prediction2025-03-01

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My Prediction

community

lower 25%

median

upper 75%

>2026-05-15

...

2024-12-20 09:34

2025-03-01 04:51

2025-05-28 12:09

2.8%

Authors:

BellardiaLemonus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Business of AI

Effective Institutions Project

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

GPT

OpenAI

Chatbot

When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?

2025-03-26

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many petaFLOPs will be used to train it?

4.13B

Comments

? comments

Authors:

BellardiaLemonus

Opened:

Closes:

Scheduled resolution:

Business of AI

Effective Institutions Project

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

GPT

OpenAI

Chatbot

It will be a while before OpenAI turns a profit. In the meantime, Microsoft gets a cut of revenue.

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Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

When will GPT-5 be available to the general public?

2025-03-26

When will an AI model trained with the following orders of magnitude more compute than GPT-4 be released?

If GPT-4 is announced before 2025, how many petaFLOPs will be used to train it?

4.13B