64 forecasters

When will a Chinese entity develop a model surpassing GPT-4's few-shot performance on MMLU?

community

26 May 2025

result

Annulled

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

Opened:

Mar 18, 2023

Closes:

Jun 15, 2029

Resolved:

Sep 7, 2025

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 20, 2023

Computing and Math

Artificial Intelligence

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