3 comments
40 forecasters
What will be the share of lithium processed in China in 2030?
Current estimate
61.4%
Key Factors
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Mar 16, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2031
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2033
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 18, 2023
Will the famed South American lithium triangle (Bolivia, Chile, and Argentina) overtake Australia in lithium production before 2031?
51% chance
30
What will be the share of lithium consumption in 2030 in the United States met by lithium that was recycled or repurposed in the United States?
3.08%
(1.3 - 6.92)
3.08%
(1.3 - 6.92)
24 forecasters
Will at least three lithium mines operate in the US before 2030?
65% chance
44