Question

Will a new federal "Cash for Clunkers" program be passed into law before 2027?

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(3% - 6%)

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50%

community: 5%

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Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 18, 2023

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Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

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Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?

What will happen next with respect to the 2022 Inflation Reduction Act's $7,500 tax credit for US individuals who purchase an EV (30D)?

Authors:

RyanBeck

Opened:

Mar 16, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2027

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2027

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 18, 2023

Climate Tipping Points

Climate Tipping Points Round 2

Environment & Climate

Economy & Business

Senate considers ditching the EV tax credit even earlier than planned

NPR Online News•Jul 1, 2025

Senate considers ditching the EV tax credit even earlier than planned

•Jul 1, 2025

Republicans' "big, beautiful bill" would force Postal Service to sell its new EV mail trucks

CBS•Jun 24, 2025

Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch

Conditional on a new "cash for clunkers" program, what will be the percent of light vehicles sold in the United States in 2030 which are ZEVs?

35.4

Will a law that allows states other than California to set their own stringent vehicle emissions standards be enacted in the United States before January 1, 2027?