Question
What percent of the global population will identify as "religiously unaffiliated" in 2050?
Total Forecasters116
Community Prediction
20.7%
(16.7% - 25.9%)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Lower bound | community | My Prediction |
| <5% | 1.3% | — |
| Quartiles | ||
| lower 25% | 16.7% | — |
| median | 20.66% | — |
| upper 75% | 25.88% | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >30% | 13.4% | — |
No key factors yetAdd some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 13, 2018
Authors:
Opened:Nov 11, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2027
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2060
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 13, 2018