Question
When will China manufacture extreme ultraviolet lithography equipment domestically?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
22 Jan 2028
(12 Nov 2025 - Dec 2030)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 12 Nov 2025 | — |
| median | 22 Jan 2028 | — |
| upper 75% | Dec 2030 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Aug 2040 | 1.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 19, 2023
Closes:Feb 16, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Feb 16, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 21, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Mar 19, 2023
Closes:Feb 16, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Feb 16, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 21, 2023
