Question
When will China manufacture extreme ultraviolet lithography equipment domestically?
Total Forecasters27
Community Prediction
25 Nov 2027
(16 Sep 2025 - Oct 2030)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 16 Sep 2025 | — |
| median | 25 Nov 2027 | — |
| upper 75% | Oct 2030 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Aug 2040 | 1.0% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 19, 2023
Closes:Feb 16, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Feb 16, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 21, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch
Authors:
Opened:Mar 19, 2023
Closes:Feb 16, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Feb 16, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 21, 2023
Learn more about Metaculus NewsMatch