🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will a new nuclear-armed state emerge before 2030?

6
12
Total Forecasters58
Community Prediction55% (45% - 70%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 55%
Authors:
NMorrison
Opened:
Closes:
Scheduled resolution:
Geopolitics
Federal Security Service
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty
List of states with nuclear weapons
Central Intelligence Agency
Secret Intelligence Service
China
United Kingdom
India
International Atomic Energy Agency
Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization

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