Question

Will the Ocean Cleanup project fail to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?

Resolved:Yes

8 comments8

Total Forecasters67

Community Prediction

73%

(62% - 83%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 73%

Did this actually happen?Yes

Community Baseline Score

44.2

Community Peer Score

6.4

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Nov 23, 2018

Closes:

Dec 1, 2019

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 25, 2018

Environment & Climate

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

45%

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

12%

Authors:

christian

Opened:

Nov 23, 2018

Closes:

Dec 1, 2019

Resolves:

Jan 3, 2021

Spot Scoring Time:

Nov 25, 2018

Environment & Climate

Technology

2016-2020 Leaderboard

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

45%

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

12%

Will the Ocean Cleanup project *fail* to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?

Make a Prediction

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?

Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?

Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?

Will the Ocean Cleanup project fail to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?