8 comments
67 forecasters
Will the Ocean Cleanup project *fail* to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?
73%chance
ResolvedYes
The community gave this a 73% chance, and it resolved Yes.
Forecast Timeline
Authors:
Opened:Nov 23, 2018
Closes:Dec 1, 2019
Resolved:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 25, 2018
Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?
45% chance
28
Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?
5% chance
15
Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?
12% chance
38