Question
Will the Ocean Cleanup project *fail* to have 60 systems up and running by 2021?
Resolved:YesTotal Forecasters67
Community Prediction
73%
(62% - 83%)
Make a Prediction
Did this actually happen?Yes
Community Baseline Score
44.2
Community Peer Score
6.4
Authors:
Opened:Nov 23, 2018
Closes:Dec 1, 2019
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 25, 2018
Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?
45%
Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?
7%
Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?
12%
Authors:
Opened:Nov 23, 2018
Closes:Dec 1, 2019
Resolves:Jan 3, 2021
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 25, 2018
Will the Billion Oyster Project restore 1 billion oysters to New York Harbor before 2035?
45%
Will a floating community with a permanent population of at least 100 people exist by the end of 2026, as reported by the Seasteading Institute?
7%
Will there be a successful seasteading venture with at least 100 participants before 2035?
12%