30 comments
105 forecasters
Will the Cavendish account for less than 50% of banana exports worldwide before 2035?
48%chance
Forecast Timeline
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 13, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2034
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2034
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 13, 2018
Will US consumers be unable to purchase the Cavendish banana at major US grocery chains on December 31, 2029?
15% chance
57
When will the novel Luna avocado strain capture 5% of the US avocado market?
May 2040
(Jun 2037 - >Jul 2040)
May 2040
(Jun 2037 - >Jul 2040)
4 forecasters
Will wheat be successfully de-allergenized by 2030?
42% chance
102