Question
When will an AI solve half the questions on a Miklós Schweitzer competition?
Total Forecasters18
Community Prediction
04 Dec 2026
(04 Sep 2025 - 26 Apr 2029)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 04 Sep 2025 | — |
| median | 04 Dec 2026 | — |
| upper 75% | 26 Apr 2029 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Jan 2040 | 8.9% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 30, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Mar 28, 2023
Closes:Jan 1, 2040
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2040
Spot Scoring Time:Mar 30, 2023
