304 forecasters

Will Russia station at least one nuclear weapon in Belarus before 2024?

90%chance

90%chance

ResolvedYes

ResolvedYes

The community gave this a 90% chance, and it resolved Yes.

Forecast Timeline

Authors:

PhilippSchoenegger

Opened:

Mar 28, 2023

Closes:

Dec 31, 2023

Resolved:

Jun 14, 2023

Spot Scoring Time:

Mar 29, 2023

🏆 2023 Leaderboard

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