Questions
Tournaments
Services
News
Questions
Tournaments
Questions
Questions
More
Log in
Sign Up
Log in
Sign Up
5
33
forecasters
3
5 comments
33 forecasters
The Taiwan Tinderbox
2 more...
Will the U.S. deploy nuclear missiles to Japan or the Philippines before 2035?
Predict
Follow
share
embed
25%
chance
Timeline
Histogram
1d
1w
2m
all
Comments (5)
Timeline
Key Factors (0)
Question Info
Similar Questions
No key factors yet
Add some that might influence this forecast.
Add key factor
5 comments
48 forecasters
US Says Will Use Nukes to Defend Taiwan?
5%
chance
0 comments
35 forecasters
Taiwan Nuclear Conflict
2035
3%
2030
2%
5 comments
39 forecasters
JSDF fires a Tomahawk by mid-2027
87%
chance
0 comments
21 forecasters
China Nuclear No First Use
2035
5%
2030
3%
8 comments
101 forecasters
2030: Does China Have 1000 Nukes?
74%
chance
2 comments
27 forecasters
U.S. Nuclear First Use After China Drops NFU
75%
chance
11 comments
40 forecasters
China Nuclear First Use After Renouncing NFU
70%
chance
5 comments
43 forecasters
China Nuclear Threat For Taiwan Interference?
22%
chance