Question
When will the next Nankai megathrust earthquake occur?
Total Forecasters15
Community Prediction
Oct 2044
(Dec 2035 - >Dec 2049)
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CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | Dec 2035 | — |
| median | Oct 2044 | — |
| upper 75% | >Dec 2049 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >Dec 2049 | 33.2% | — |
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Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 4, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Apr 2, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2049
Scheduled resolution:Jan 1, 2050
Spot Scoring Time:Apr 4, 2023