Question

How many people will die as a result of the most deadly earthquake from 2020 - 2029?

9 comments9

Total Forecasters51

Community Prediction

69.3k deaths

(43.5k deaths - 126k deaths)

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CDF

	lower 25%	median	upper 75%	>10M
community	43.51k	69.32k	126k	0.2%
My Prediction	—	—	—	—

Quartiles	community	My Prediction
lower 25%	43.51k	—
median	69.32k	—
upper 75%	126k	—
Upper bound
>10M	0.2%	—

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Authors:

Matthew_Barnett

Opened:

Jul 16, 2020

Closes:

Dec 31, 2029

Scheduled resolution:

Jan 1, 2030

Spot Scoring Time:

Jul 18, 2020

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