Question
How many months after receiving a bivalent booster does the efficacy of the vaccine remain above 50% in preventing severe COVID-19 disease among the 65+ population?
Resolved:AmbiguousTotal Forecasters32
Community Prediction
3.97
(2.78 - 5.39)
Make a Prediction
CDF
| Quartiles | community | My Prediction |
| lower 25% | 2.783 | — |
| median | 3.969 | — |
| upper 75% | 5.393 | — |
| Upper bound | ||
| >14 | 0.8% | — |
What was the final result?Ambiguous
Authors:
Opened:Mar 31, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Mar 19, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 25, 2023
Authors:
Opened:Mar 31, 2023
Closes:Dec 31, 2023
Resolves:Mar 19, 2024
Spot Scoring Time:May 25, 2023
