Question

Will Australia elect Bill Shorten as Prime Minister in 2019?

Resolved:No

28 comments28

Total Forecasters46

Community Prediction

(1% - 7%)

Make a Prediction

50%

community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Peer Score

6.9

Community Baseline Score

-90.5

Authors:

Lizsmells

Opened:

Dec 4, 2018

Closes:

May 31, 2019

Resolves:

May 31, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 6, 2018

Elections

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? (2028)

30%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

57%

Will the National Party win more seats than the Liberal Party in an election for the Australian House of Representatives before 2035?

18%

Authors:

Lizsmells

Opened:

Dec 4, 2018

Closes:

May 31, 2019

Resolves:

May 31, 2019

Spot Scoring Time:

Dec 6, 2018

Elections

2018-2019 Leaderboard

Will the Coalition win the next Australian federal election? (2028)

30%

When the Coalition next governs Australia, will it be in majority?

57%

Will the National Party win more seats than the Liberal Party in an election for the Australian House of Representatives before 2035?

18%