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Will Australia elect Bill Shorten as Prime Minister in 2019?

Australia is expected to hold a federal election in 2019. The centre-left Australian Labor Party (ALP) have been in opposition since 2013, with the centre-right Liberal-National Party (LNP, Coalition) in power or having a minority government since then.

Bill Shorten is the current leader of the ALP. The ALP has been performing well in opinion polls such as Newspoll, but Shorten has not (https://www.google.com.au/amp/s/amp.theguardi…).

Ladbrokes betting website has these odds:https://m.ladbrokes.com.au/sports/politics/23…

Sportsbet website has these odds: https://www.sportsbet.com.au/betting/politics…

This question will resolve positively if Bill Shorten becomes Prime Minister following a federal election with the ALP holding a majority of seats in the House of Representatives OR forming a minority government.

This question will resolve negatively if the ALP form government following a federal election without Bill Shorten as their leader, even if he becomes their leader later. It will also resolve negatively if the ALP do not form government in 2019.

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