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Will Australia elect Bill Shorten as Prime Minister in 2019?

Australia is expected to hold a federal election in 2019. The centre-left Australian Labor Party (ALP) have been in opposition since 2013, with the centre-right Liberal-National Party (LNP, Coalition) in power or having a minority government since then.

Bill Shorten is the current leader of the ALP. The ALP has been performing well in opinion polls such as Newspoll, but Shorten has not (…).

Ladbrokes betting website has these odds:…

Sportsbet website has these odds:…

This question will resolve positively if Bill Shorten becomes Prime Minister following a federal election with the ALP holding a majority of seats in the House of Representatives OR forming a minority government.

This question will resolve negatively if the ALP form government following a federal election without Bill Shorten as their leader, even if he becomes their leader later. It will also resolve negatively if the ALP do not form government in 2019.


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