Question

When will be the first year that the 2˚C climate threshold is crossed?

Total Forecasters135
Community Prediction
Dec 2043
(Oct 2035 - May 2055)

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CDF

Lower boundcommunityMy Prediction
<Dec 20191.7%
Quartiles
lower 25%Oct 2035
medianDec 2043
upper 75%May 2055
Upper bound
>21005.5%
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Authors:
Opened:Nov 26, 2018
Closes:Dec 31, 2099
Scheduled resolution:Dec 31, 2100
Spot Scoring Time:Nov 27, 2018