Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

condition

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?

Resolved:No

16 forecasters

if yes

if no

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

51%

Resolved:Annulled

Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?

51%

Resolved:No

1 1 comment

16 forecasters

Make a Prediction

US Government Shutdown Before 2024?	Democrat Wins 2024 US Presidential Election?
if yes	My Prediction: —
if no	My Prediction: —

50%

community: 51%

What was the final result? No

Community Peer Score

2.8

Community Baseline Score

-3.1

if Yes

if No

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

66.7% chance

106

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

14% chance

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

51% chance

134

Authors:

casens

Opened:

Jan 21, 2023

Closes:

Jan 1, 2024

Resolved:

Jan 1, 2024

Elections

Politics

2021-2025 Leaderboard

2023 Leaderboard

Will there be a US government shutdown before the 2028 presidential election?

66.7% chance

106

Will the Democrats control the House of Representatives at any point before Jan 3, 2027?

14% chance

Will a Democrat win the 2028 US presidential election?

51% chance

134