🔭 The Bridgewater x Metaculus Forecasting Contest Goes Global — Feb 3

For the second year, Metaculus is teaming up with Bridgewater Associates to host a competition featuring $25k in prizes and potential opportunities with the asset management firm — and this year, forecasters from around the globe can compete.

Start here to register for the February 3rd competition, warm up on practice questions, and learn about the separate Open and Undergraduate leaderboards.

M

Question

Will Hillary Clinton run for the office of President of the United States in 2020?

Resolved :No1%
6
35
Total Forecasters184
Community Prediction1% (1% - 1%)

Make a Prediction

50%
community: 1%

Did this actually happen?No

Community Baseline Score
88.5
Community Peer Score
10.2
Learn more about scores here.
Authors:
Jgalt
Opened:
Closes:
Resolves:
Elections
Politics
2016-2020 Leaderboard
Tim Kaine
Federal Election Commission
Democratic Party (US)
Hillary Clinton
President of the US
2020 US presidential election
Donald Trump

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