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Will Hillary Clinton run for the office of President of the United States in 2020?
Hillary Rodham Clinton, former First Lady of the United States and former Secretary of State, was a candidate for President of the United States in 2008 and 2016.
In 2008, she failed to win the Democratic Party's nomination and subsequently endorsed then-Senator Barack Obama, who went on to win the Presidency. In 2016, she won the nomination of the Democratic Party and selected then-Senator (and former Governor of Virginia) Tim Kaine as her running mate in the Presidential Election. She won the popular vote, but lost the Electoral College to Republican nominee Donald Trump.
Since her loss in 2016, Clinton has publicly denied, on multiple occasions, any plans to run for federal office in the future. However, in October 2018, Clinton admitted 'I'd like to be President' when pushed on the matter by a journalist.
Will Hillary Clinton run for the Presidency of the United States in 2020?
This question shall resolve positively if credible media reports state that Hillary Clinton, former First Lady of the United States and former Secretary of State, (or agents acting on her behalf and with her consent) has filed 'FEC Form 2: Statement of Candidacy' with the Federal Election Commission in relation to the 2020 United States Presidential election.
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Predictions are the heart of Metaculus. Predicting is how you contribute to the wisdom of the crowd, and how you earn points and build up your personal Metaculus track record.
The basics of predicting are very simple: move the slider to best match the likelihood of the outcome, and click predict. You can predict as often as you want, and you're encouraged to change your mind when new information becomes available. With tachyons you'll even be able to go back in time and backdate your prediction to maximize your points.
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When you make a prediction, check the community stats to see where you land. If your prediction is an outlier, might there be something you're overlooking that others have seen? Or do you have special insight that others are lacking? Either way, it might be a good idea to join the discussion in the comments.